Follow-up to trees.social/@andrej/110934661…
Thank you all so much for participating. More than 10% of the people that were at #cccamp23 particpated in the poll. This is huge! While there definitely is some sample selection bias, I am more and more conviced that there is little skewing in the answers themselves.
1/x
Please answer only if you were at the #cccamp23
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Kill cars for climate!
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •One reason for that is that while in the beginning the covid positive answer got more click, after around 150 votes, the level stabilized and kept the same until the end.
Unless there were some malicious actors, this indicates the results are a good sample of the population. The biggest source of bias lies in the fact, that answers are all from the fediverse and nobody else took part. However, from that I can't really determine what the bias would be.
2/x
Kill cars for climate!
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •This leads to the main point: This a damn high rate of covid at the camp. In our sample alone, this equals to 26 people that got covid at camp. This is according to whispers from people close to the organization equival to the total number of people having tested positive at the camp's test center and CERT. So maybe we are "lucky" and everybody that had tested positive at CERT was part of this poll.
3/x
Kill cars for climate!
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •But if we take it as a sample and project it on the whole population at the camp, we have to expect that there were 240 people at camp while having an active covid infection. Taking this into account, it is no wonder, that the camp turned out to be a covid spreading event. As from our numbers a further 240 people caught covid while at camp.
4/x
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Kill cars for climate!
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •This totals to 8% of participants. This is extremely high. And by probability, that means that at least 22 people are likely to get some form of Long Covid from this event. I find this devastating.
I hope that this poll will help to make future cccamps and chaos events safer by leading to a broader discussion of how to protect the participants.
5/x
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Kill cars for climate!
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •I also will start a short follow-up poll on the weekend to see if the gist of the numbers changed in the mean time.
I am especially interested to see if more people tested positive after the camp.
Thanks again for participating.
6/6
Tina Stormcaller
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •Kill cars for climate!
in reply to Tina Stormcaller • • •@TinaStormcaller In my group there was a case as well. The person got sick on Monday, so most likely contracted at the camp. None of the others in our group got sick.
The virus moves in mysterious ways sometimes.
Tina Stormcaller
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •Martin Hamilton
in reply to Tina Stormcaller • • •Lars Marowsky-Brée 😷
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discontinuity
in reply to Kill cars for climate! • • •Kill cars for climate!
in reply to discontinuity • • •